Monday, October 26, 2026

High76°

Low54° official minimum

Rainnone

Most accurate TV weather team for the day, by the Rankings' measure (the average miss of the high and low, 1 day out): KCTV5 First Warn team and KMBC 9 First Alert team, 1.00°.

The WeatherChecked badge

KCTV5 First Warn team and KMBC 9 First Alert team: number 1 Kansas City TV weather team for Monday, October 26, 2026 (tied). The station is welcome to show this badge, linked to this page, which has the result and how it was decided.

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<a href="https://kcweathercheck.com/day/2026-10-26/"><img src="https://kcweathercheck.com/static/badges/weatherchecked-ranked-1-daily-800.png" width="300" style="height:auto" alt="WeatherChecked Ranked #1 - Daily: KCTV5 First Warn team and KMBC 9 First Alert team, Monday, October 26, 2026, KC Weather Check"></a>

Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 19, 5:07 p.m. to Oct 21, 2:37 p.m.

How the forecasts changed

Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to the end of the day. A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind; the line marked Actual is what happened. The shaded part is the day itself.

KSHB 41 weather team
KMBC 9 First Alert team
KCTV5 First Warn team
FOX4 weather team

KSHB 41 website
KMBC 9 website
KCTV5 website
FOX4 website

National Weather Service
National Blend of Models
GFS (American model)
ECMWF (European model)
GEM (Canadian model)
ICON (German model)
HRRR

The high

The low

The chance of rain

KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.

Every change

Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)

Forecaster	The high, every change	Back-and-forth	The low, every change	Back-and-forth	Chance of rain, every change	Back-and-forth
KSHB 41 weather team	72° → 70° → 72° → 75° → 77°	4°	56° → 54° → 57° → 55° → 54° → 56°	10°	0% → 20% → 0%	40 pts
KMBC 9 First Alert team	76° → 72° → 70° → 68° → 73° → 75° → 76° → 78°	16°	59° → 55° → 57° → 56° → 58°	8°	–	–
KCTV5 First Warn team	69° → 67° → 69° → … → 75° → 76° → 77° (9 versions)	6°	57° → 54° → 55° → 56°	4°	30% → 40% → 30% → 20% → 0%	20 pts
FOX4 weather team	70° → 72° → 74° → 75° → 76° → 77° → 78°	0°	58° → 56° → 55° → 56° → 55° → 56°	4°	20% → 30% → 0%	20 pts
KSHB 41 website	72° → 71° → 72° → … → 76° → 77° → 76° (88 versions)	106°	55° → 56° → 55° → … → 58° → 59° → 58° (86 versions)	82°	6% → 9% → 8% → … → 1% → 2% → 1% (134 versions)	374 pts
KMBC 9 website	74° → 73° → 72° → … → 67° → 68° → 69° (101 versions)	130°	55° → 54° → 53° → … → 56° → 55° → 56° (72 versions)	70°	6% → 5% → 6% → … → 1% → 2% → 1% (86 versions)	156 pts
KCTV5 website	75° → 69° → 67° → … → 76° → 77° → 79° (11 versions)	18°	56° → 57° → 54° → 55° → 56°	6°	5% → 30% → 40% → 30% → 20% → 0% → 20%	80 pts
FOX4 website	75° → 76° → 79° → … → 64° → 63° → 61° (26 versions)	26°	45° → 55° → 56° → … → 58° → 59° → 58° (20 versions)	16°	15% → 10% → 7% → … → 2% → 1% → 0% (21 versions)	20 pts
National Weather Service	70° → 68° → 69° → … → 77° → 78° → 76° (10 versions)	8°	55° → 54° → 55° → … → 54° → 57° → 58° (10 versions)	10°	9% → 16% → 23% → … → 1% → 4% → 6% (18 versions)	52 pts
National Blend of Models	70° → 73° → 69° → … → 75° → 76° → 77° (15 versions)	16°	55° → 58° → 54° → … → 58° → 57° → 58° (12 versions)	18°	6% → 8% → 10% → … → 3% → 2% → 1% (22 versions)	40 pts
GFS (American model)	70° → 72° → 73° → … → 74° → 75° → 76° (22 versions)	58°	52° → 56° → 58° → … → 59° → 60° → 59° (20 versions)	20°	13% → 16% → 10% → … → 23% → 3% → 0% (19 versions)	116 pts
ECMWF (European model)	73° → 72° → 73° → … → 75° → 76° → 77° (69 versions)	150°	50° → 61° → 59° → … → 60° → 57° → 55° (23 versions)	38°	4% → 8% → 18% → … → 8% → 3% → 0% (23 versions)	122 pts
GEM (Canadian model)	73° → 72° → 74° → … → 76° → 77° → 76° (21 versions)	30°	55° → 52° → 56° → … → 57° → 56° → 54° (18 versions)	36°	0% → 6% → 14% → … → 2% → 5% → 0% (12 versions)	44 pts
ICON (German model)	71° → 64° → 62° → … → 77° → 76° → 77° (19 versions)	38°	50° → 55° → 58° → … → 55° → 56° → 55° (17 versions)	22°	16% → 45% → 31% → … → 22% → 3% → 0% (10 versions)	94 pts
HRRR	77° → 78° → 77° → … → 77° → 76° → 77° (9 versions)	10°	58° → 57° → 56° → … → 56° → 54° → 55° (12 versions)	10°	–	–

What they said

Each forecaster's 9 a.m. forecast for this day, made 1 to 7 days before. The small numbers are the miss in degrees.

Days before	Forecaster	High	Low	Rain chance
1	Consensus forecast	76° 0	56° +2	3%✓
1	FOX4 weather team	77° +1	56° +2	no rain✓
1	FOX4 website	79° +3	58° +4	4%✓
1	KCTV5 First Warn team	76° 0	56° +2	no rain✓
1	KCTV5 website	76° 0	56° +2	0%✓
1	KMBC 9 First Alert team	76° 0	56° +2	–
1	KMBC 9 website	78° +2	56° +2	4%✓
1	KSHB 41 weather team	75° -1	56° +2	no rain✓
1	KSHB 41 website	78° +2	57° +3	3%✓
1	ECMWF (European model)	75° -1	58° +4	3%✓
1	GEM (Canadian model)	77° +1	58° +4	0%✓
1	GFS (American model)	74° -2	59° +5	0%✓
1	HRRR	77° +1	56° +2	no rain✓
1	ICON (German model)	76° 0	53° -1	3%✓
1	National Blend of Models	76° 0	57° +3	2%✓
1	National Weather Service	77° +1	57° +3	7%✓
2	Consensus forecast	76° 0	56° +2	2%✓
2	FOX4 weather team	76° 0	55° +1	no rain✓
2	FOX4 website	78° +2	58° +4	2%✓
2	KCTV5 First Warn team	76° 0	56° +2	no rain✓
2	KCTV5 website	76° 0	56° +2	0%✓
2	KMBC 9 First Alert team	76° 0	57° +3	–
2	KMBC 9 website	77° +1	56° +2	2%✓
2	KSHB 41 weather team	75° -1	55° +1	no rain✓
2	KSHB 41 website	77° +1	57° +3	2%✓
2	ECMWF (European model)	75° -1	57° +3	8%✓
2	GEM (Canadian model)	76° 0	54° 0	0%✓
2	GFS (American model)	74° -2	59° +5	0%✓
2	ICON (German model)	76° 0	56° +2	3%✓
2	National Blend of Models	76° 0	57° +3	3%✓
2	National Weather Service	76° 0	56° +2	11%✓
3	Consensus forecast	75° -1	57° +3	4%✓
3	FOX4 weather team	74° -2	56° +2	no rain✓
3	FOX4 website	79° +3	58° +4	2%✓
3	KCTV5 First Warn team	74° -2	55° +1	no rain✓
3	KCTV5 website	74° -2	55° +1	0%✓
3	KMBC 9 First Alert team	– –	– –	–
3	KMBC 9 website	77° +1	57° +3	3%✓
3	KSHB 41 weather team	75° -1	55° +1	no rain✓
3	KSHB 41 website	78° +2	57° +3	2%✓
3	ECMWF (European model)	75° -1	57° +3	11%✓
3	GEM (Canadian model)	77° +1	58° +4	2%✓
3	GFS (American model)	75° -1	59° +5	23%✓
3	ICON (German model)	72° -4	56° +2	8%✓
3	National Blend of Models	74° -2	57° +3	4%✓
3	National Weather Service	75° -1	56° +2	8%✓
4	Consensus forecast	74° -2	56° +2	7%✓
4	FOX4 weather team	72° -4	55° +1	no rain✓
4	FOX4 website	79° +3	58° +4	4%✓
4	KCTV5 First Warn team	74° -2	55° +1	30%✓
4	KCTV5 website	74° -2	55° +1	30%✓
4	KMBC 9 First Alert team	73° -3	55° +1	–
4	KMBC 9 website	77° +1	55° +1	2%✓
4	KSHB 41 weather team	72° -4	55° +1	20%✓
4	KSHB 41 website	78° +2	57° +3	1%✓
4	ECMWF (European model)	73° -3	57° +3	4%✓
4	GEM (Canadian model)	75° -1	57° +3	2%✓
4	GFS (American model)	74° -2	59° +5	19%✓
4	ICON (German model)	74° -2	54° 0	no rain✓
4	National Blend of Models	72° -4	57° +3	7%✓
4	National Weather Service	73° -3	56° +2	16%✓
5	Consensus forecast	69° -7	55° +1	24%✓
5	KCTV5 First Warn team	68° -8	54° 0	40%✓
5	KCTV5 website	68° -8	54° 0	40%✓
5	KMBC 9 First Alert team	70° -6	55° +1	–
5	KMBC 9 website	72° -4	55° +1	15%✓
5	KSHB 41 weather team	70° -6	55° +1	20%✓
5	KSHB 41 website	67° -9	55° +1	15%✓
5	ECMWF (European model)	69° -7	59° +5	29%✓
5	GEM (Canadian model)	70° -6	54° 0	11%✓
5	GFS (American model)	73° -3	57° +3	30%✓
5	ICON (German model)	62° -14	58° +4	31%✓
5	National Blend of Models	68° -8	56° +2	13%✓
5	National Weather Service	69° -7	54° 0	24%✓
6	Consensus forecast	70° -6	56° +2	21%✓
6	FOX4 website	– –	55° +1	–
6	KCTV5 First Warn team	67° -9	57° +3	30%✓
6	KCTV5 website	67° -9	57° +3	30%✓
6	KMBC 9 First Alert team	72° -4	55° +1	–
6	KMBC 9 website	68° -8	55° +1	21%✓
6	KSHB 41 weather team	70° -6	54° 0	no rain✓
6	KSHB 41 website	68° -8	56° +2	20%✓
6	ECMWF (European model)	73° -3	57° +3	31%✓
6	GEM (Canadian model)	74° -2	56° +2	11%✓
6	GFS (American model)	64° -12	58° +4	26%✓
6	ICON (German model)	71° -5	55° +1	no rain✓
6	National Blend of Models	69° -7	57° +3	9%✓
6	National Weather Service	70° -6	55° +1	16%✓
7	Consensus forecast	72° -4	56° +2	6%✓
7	FOX4 website	– –	56° +2	–
7	KCTV5 website	75° -1	56° +2	5%✓
7	KMBC 9 First Alert team	76° 0	59° +5	–
7	KMBC 9 website	71° -5	54° 0	6%✓
7	KSHB 41 weather team	72° -4	56° +2	no rain✓
7	KSHB 41 website	72° -4	55° +1	9%✓
7	ECMWF (European model)	67° -9	61° +7	8%✓
7	GEM (Canadian model)	72° -4	52° -2	6%✓
7	GFS (American model)	73° -3	58° +4	10%✓
7	National Blend of Models	73° -3	58° +4	6%✓
7	National Weather Service	– –	55° +1	–