Tuesday, October 27, 2026

High70°

Low55° official minimum

Rainnone

Most accurate TV weather team for the day, by the Rankings' measure (the average miss of the high and low, 1 day out): KCTV5 First Warn team and KSHB 41 weather team, 2.00°.

The WeatherChecked badge

KCTV5 First Warn team and KSHB 41 weather team: number 1 Kansas City TV weather team for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (tied). The station is welcome to show this badge, linked to this page, which has the result and how it was decided.

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<a href="https://kcweathercheck.com/day/2026-10-27/"><img src="https://kcweathercheck.com/static/badges/weatherchecked-ranked-1-daily-800.png" width="300" style="height:auto" alt="WeatherChecked Ranked #1 - Daily: KCTV5 First Warn team and KSHB 41 weather team, Tuesday, October 27, 2026, KC Weather Check"></a>

Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 19, 5:07 p.m. to Oct 21, 2:37 p.m.

How the forecasts changed

Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to the end of the day. A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind; the line marked Actual is what happened. The shaded part is the day itself.

KSHB 41 weather team
KMBC 9 First Alert team
KCTV5 First Warn team
FOX4 weather team

KSHB 41 website
KMBC 9 website
KCTV5 website
FOX4 website

National Weather Service
National Blend of Models
GFS (American model)
ECMWF (European model)
GEM (Canadian model)
ICON (German model)
HRRR

The high

The low

The chance of rain

KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.

Every change

Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)

Forecaster	The high, every change	Back-and-forth	The low, every change	Back-and-forth	Chance of rain, every change	Back-and-forth
KSHB 41 weather team	65° → 63° → 61° → 67° → 69° → 70° → 72° → 71°	10°	51° → 53° → 57° → 58° → 57°	2°	20% → 30% → 20%	20 pts
KMBC 9 First Alert team	69° → 65° → 68° → … → 73° → 72° → 70° (9 versions)	14°	52° → 50° → 54° → 55° → 56° → 58°	4°	–	–
KCTV5 First Warn team	62° → 57° → 59° → … → 71° → 70° → 68° (10 versions)	16°	48° → 52° → 54° → 56° → 55° → 56° → 57° → 58°	2°	30% → 20% → 30% → 20% → 30% → 20% → 30%	60 pts
FOX4 weather team	58° → 63° → 68° → … → 72° → 71° → 72° (12 versions)	10°	46° → 50° → 54° → 56° → 54° → 57° → 60° → 58°	8°	30% → 20% → 30%	20 pts
KSHB 41 website	66° → 65° → 66° → … → 69° → 70° → 71° (126 versions)	154°	52° → 53° → 49° → … → 58° → 59° → 58° (71 versions)	78°	9% → 8% → 9% → … → 10% → 9% → 8% (170 versions)	738 pts
KMBC 9 website	65° → 64° → 65° → … → 69° → 79° → 80° (114 versions)	140°	52° → 51° → 52° → … → 57° → 58° → 57° (86 versions)	94°	17% → 11% → 10% → … → 10% → 9% → 6% (103 versions)	512 pts
KCTV5 website	73° → 62° → 57° → … → 68° → 72° → 74° (13 versions)	38°	54° → 48° → 52° → … → 56° → 57° → 58° (9 versions)	14°	8% → 30% → 20% → … → 20% → 30% → 0% (9 versions)	104 pts
FOX4 website	62° → 61° → 60° → … → 63° → 62° → 61° (54 versions)	78°	52° → 54° → 57° → … → 59° → 60° → 59° (17 versions)	12°	14% → 16% → 15% → … → 38% → 1% → 0% (38 versions)	288 pts
National Weather Service	64° → 61° → 66° → … → 73° → 72° → 71° (12 versions)	16°	51° → 49° → 50° → … → 57° → 59° → 58° (13 versions)	10°	12% → 21% → 15% → … → 19% → 3% → 19% (17 versions)	116 pts
National Blend of Models	66° → 68° → 63° → … → 69° → 71° → 70° (21 versions)	30°	51° → 54° → 49° → … → 58° → 59° → 58° (21 versions)	24°	10% → 8% → 11% → … → 6% → 7% → 10% (38 versions)	102 pts
GFS (American model)	55° → 52° → 48° → … → 66° → 69° → 68° (27 versions)	62°	43° → 40° → 35° → … → 58° → 59° → 58° (19 versions)	46°	16% → 10% → 25% → … → 3% → 0% → 3% (27 versions)	188 pts
ECMWF (European model)	60° → 67° → 57° → … → 70° → 72° → 70° (51 versions)	240°	41° → 52° → 46° → … → 60° → 59° → 56° (25 versions)	64°	16% → 22% → 40% → … → 10% → 6% → 15% (33 versions)	414 pts
GEM (Canadian model)	70° → 72° → 73° → … → 72° → 71° → 69° (20 versions)	30°	54° → 46° → 57° → … → 59° → 58° → 56° (16 versions)	40°	10% → 15% → 6% → … → 15% → 2% → 3% (15 versions)	110 pts
ICON (German model)	50° → 62° → 60° → … → 68° → 67° → 68° (19 versions)	34°	52° → 45° → 54° → … → 56° → 58° → 57° (20 versions)	38°	36% → 35% → 25% → … → 25% → 8% → 20% (16 versions)	94 pts
HRRR	73° → 72° → 73° → … → 72° → 71° → 70° (9 versions)	8°	58° → 61° → 58° → 57° → 55° → 56° → 58° → 57°	12°	–	–

What they said

Each forecaster's 9 a.m. forecast for this day, made 1 to 7 days before. The small numbers are the miss in degrees.

Days before	Forecaster	High	Low	Rain chance
1	Consensus forecast	71° +1	58° +3	25%✓
1	FOX4 weather team	73° +3	58° +3	30%✓
1	FOX4 website	71° +1	60° +5	24%✓
1	KCTV5 First Warn team	71° +1	58° +3	30%✓
1	KCTV5 website	71° +1	58° +3	30%✓
1	KMBC 9 First Alert team	72° +2	58° +3	–
1	KMBC 9 website	69° -1	58° +3	24%✓
1	KSHB 41 weather team	72° +2	57° +2	30%✓
1	KSHB 41 website	70° 0	59° +4	24%✓
1	ECMWF (European model)	67° -3	57° +2	78%✗
1	GEM (Canadian model)	70° 0	60° +5	14%✓
1	GFS (American model)	70° 0	59° +4	3%✓
1	HRRR	73° +3	61° +6	no rain✓
1	ICON (German model)	70° 0	58° +3	25%✓
1	National Blend of Models	70° 0	59° +4	25%✓
1	National Weather Service	72° +2	59° +4	27%✓
2	Consensus forecast	71° +1	58° +3	24%✓
2	FOX4 weather team	72° +2	57° +2	20%✓
2	FOX4 website	73° +3	59° +4	24%✓
2	KCTV5 First Warn team	71° +1	57° +2	30%✓
2	KCTV5 website	71° +1	57° +2	30%✓
2	KMBC 9 First Alert team	72° +2	56° +1	–
2	KMBC 9 website	71° +1	57° +2	24%✓
2	KSHB 41 weather team	70° 0	58° +3	20%✓
2	KSHB 41 website	73° +3	58° +3	24%✓
2	ECMWF (European model)	71° +1	56° +1	47%✓
2	GEM (Canadian model)	71° +1	60° +5	22%✓
2	GFS (American model)	72° +2	60° +5	10%✓
2	ICON (German model)	68° -2	57° +2	30%✓
2	National Blend of Models	71° +1	60° +5	8%✓
2	National Weather Service	73° +3	58° +3	10%✓
3	Consensus forecast	71° +1	57° +2	19%✓
3	FOX4 weather team	70° 0	54° -1	20%✓
3	FOX4 website	73° +3	59° +4	13%✓
3	KCTV5 First Warn team	70° 0	56° +1	20%✓
3	KCTV5 website	70° 0	56° +1	20%✓
3	KMBC 9 First Alert team	71° +1	55° 0	–
3	KMBC 9 website	71° +1	57° +2	16%✓
3	KSHB 41 weather team	70° 0	57° +2	20%✓
3	KSHB 41 website	72° +2	57° +2	11%✓
3	ECMWF (European model)	71° +1	55° 0	39%✓
3	GEM (Canadian model)	72° +2	57° +2	5%✓
3	GFS (American model)	70° 0	60° +5	10%✓
3	ICON (German model)	67° -3	58° +3	23%✓
3	National Blend of Models	70° 0	59° +4	10%✓
3	National Weather Service	72° +2	56° +1	19%✓
4	Consensus forecast	71° +1	57° +2	17%✓
4	FOX4 weather team	68° -2	54° -1	20%✓
4	FOX4 website	72° +2	59° +4	15%✓
4	KCTV5 First Warn team	68° -2	56° +1	20%✓
4	KCTV5 website	68° -2	56° +1	20%✓
4	KMBC 9 First Alert team	– –	– –	–
4	KMBC 9 website	71° +1	57° +2	15%✓
4	KSHB 41 weather team	69° -1	53° -2	20%✓
4	KSHB 41 website	71° +1	58° +3	15%✓
4	ECMWF (European model)	71° +1	58° +3	20%✓
4	GEM (Canadian model)	71° +1	58° +3	6%✓
4	GFS (American model)	64° -6	60° +5	17%✓
4	ICON (German model)	69° -1	60° +5	26%✓
4	National Blend of Models	71° +1	57° +2	7%✓
4	National Weather Service	71° +1	55° 0	8%✓
5	Consensus forecast	64° -6	53° -2	19%✓
5	FOX4 weather team	63° -7	50° -5	30%✓
5	FOX4 website	72° +2	57° +2	15%✓
5	KCTV5 First Warn team	62° -8	52° -3	30%✓
5	KCTV5 website	62° -8	52° -3	30%✓
5	KMBC 9 First Alert team	65° -5	50° -5	–
5	KMBC 9 website	69° -1	55° 0	18%✓
5	KSHB 41 weather team	61° -9	51° -4	20%✓
5	KSHB 41 website	72° +2	56° +1	15%✓
5	ECMWF (European model)	73° +3	56° +1	17%✓
5	GEM (Canadian model)	73° +3	58° +3	29%✓
5	GFS (American model)	60° -10	51° -4	27%✓
5	ICON (German model)	62° -8	54° -1	rain✗
5	National Blend of Models	63° -7	53° -2	9%✓
5	National Weather Service	65° -5	50° -5	16%✓
6	Consensus forecast	63° -7	51° -4	20%✓
6	KCTV5 First Warn team	57° -13	48° -7	20%✓
6	KCTV5 website	57° -13	48° -7	20%✓
6	KMBC 9 First Alert team	65° -5	50° -5	–
6	KMBC 9 website	63° -7	53° -2	19%✓
6	KSHB 41 weather team	63° -7	51° -4	20%✓
6	KSHB 41 website	65° -5	53° -2	12%✓
6	ECMWF (European model)	61° -9	47° -8	25%✓
6	GEM (Canadian model)	73° +3	57° +2	15%✓
6	GFS (American model)	63° -7	56° +1	19%✓
6	ICON (German model)	50° -20	45° -10	36%✓
6	National Blend of Models	63° -7	52° -3	15%✓
6	National Weather Service	61° -9	49° -6	21%✓
7	Consensus forecast	65° -5	52° -3	10%✓
7	KCTV5 website	73° +3	54° -1	8%✓
7	KMBC 9 First Alert team	69° -1	52° -3	–
7	KMBC 9 website	64° -6	49° -6	9%✓
7	KSHB 41 weather team	65° -5	51° -4	20%✓
7	KSHB 41 website	65° -5	50° -5	9%✓
7	ECMWF (European model)	57° -13	52° -3	22%✓
7	GEM (Canadian model)	70° 0	54° -1	10%✓
7	GFS (American model)	48° -22	35° -20	25%✓
7	National Blend of Models	68° -2	54° -1	8%✓
7	National Weather Service	– –	51° -4	–