Wednesday, October 28, 2026

High79°

Low57° official minimum

Raintrace

Most accurate TV weather team for the day, by the Rankings' measure (the average miss of the high and low, 1 day out): FOX4 weather team and KCTV5 First Warn team, 1.00°.

The WeatherChecked badge

FOX4 weather team and KCTV5 First Warn team: number 1 Kansas City TV weather team for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 (tied). The station is welcome to show this badge, linked to this page, which has the result and how it was decided.

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Code for a web page

<a href="https://kcweathercheck.com/day/2026-10-28/"><img src="https://kcweathercheck.com/static/badges/weatherchecked-ranked-1-daily-800.png" width="300" style="height:auto" alt="WeatherChecked Ranked #1 - Daily: FOX4 weather team and KCTV5 First Warn team, Wednesday, October 28, 2026, KC Weather Check"></a>

Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 19, 5:07 p.m. to Oct 21, 2:37 p.m.

How the forecasts changed

Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to the end of the day. A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind; the line marked Actual is what happened. The shaded part is the day itself.

KSHB 41 weather team
KMBC 9 First Alert team
KCTV5 First Warn team
FOX4 weather team

KSHB 41 website
KMBC 9 website
KCTV5 website
FOX4 website

National Weather Service
National Blend of Models
GFS (American model)
ECMWF (European model)
GEM (Canadian model)
ICON (German model)
HRRR

The high

The low

The chance of rain

KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.

Every change

Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)

Forecaster	The high, every change	Back-and-forth	The low, every change	Back-and-forth	Chance of rain, every change	Back-and-forth
KSHB 41 weather team	66° → 64° → 69° → 71° → 72° → 74° → 76° → 79°	4°	48° → 54° → 52° → 56° → 59° → 57° → 58°	8°	20% → 0% → 20% → 0%	40 pts
KMBC 9 First Alert team	65° → 67° → 69° → … → 78° → 77° → 79° (9 versions)	2°	49° → 52° → 55° → 56° → 58° → 59°	0°	–	–
KCTV5 First Warn team	62° → 65° → 70° → 73° → 76° → 77° → 78°	0°	46° → 49° → 50° → 53° → 54° → 58° → 57°	2°	0% → 30% → 20% → 30%	20 pts
FOX4 weather team	68° → 67° → 70° → … → 77° → 78° → 79° (11 versions)	10°	44° → 46° → 52° → … → 57° → 58° → 56° (10 versions)	10°	0% → 20% → 0% → 20% → 30% → 20%	60 pts
KSHB 41 website	68° → 72° → 73° → … → 79° → 80° → 79° (107 versions)	112°	48° → 51° → 52° → … → 61° → 60° → 62° (81 versions)	74°	14% → 10% → 11% → … → 16% → 19% → 15% (138 versions)	788 pts
KMBC 9 website	65° → 66° → 68° → … → 75° → 74° → 73° (98 versions)	112°	47° → 50° → 51° → … → 58° → 59° → 60° (76 versions)	70°	13% → 14% → 19% → … → 32% → 34% → 24% (138 versions)	542 pts
KCTV5 website	72° → 62° → 65° → … → 77° → 78° → 81° (9 versions)	20°	55° → 46° → 49° → 50° → 53° → 54° → 58° → 57°	20°	20% → 0% → 30% → 20% → 30% → 20%	80 pts
FOX4 website	57° → 55° → 54° → … → 72° → 71° → 70° (46 versions)	62°	49° → 51° → 52° → … → 62° → 61° → 60° (34 versions)	26°	0% → 15% → 17% → … → 6% → 15% → 0% (49 versions)	364 pts
National Weather Service	69° → 67° → 69° → … → 78° → 79° → 80° (11 versions)	8°	46° → 50° → 47° → … → 57° → 58° → 59° (14 versions)	12°	15% → 9% → 8% → … → 19% → 24% → 23% (21 versions)	162 pts
National Blend of Models	66° → 65° → 67° → … → 77° → 78° → 79° (19 versions)	12°	49° → 50° → 49° → … → 60° → 59° → 60° (21 versions)	16°	11% → 13% → 18% → … → 8% → 11% → 14% (33 versions)	122 pts
GFS (American model)	52° → 62° → 73° → … → 78° → 77° → 78° (27 versions)	62°	32° → 50° → 54° → … → 60° → 58° → 59° (23 versions)	58°	17% → 16% → 7% → … → 39% → 77% → 71% (29 versions)	242 pts
ECMWF (European model)	48° → 52° → 73° → … → 77° → 78° → 79° (41 versions)	112°	44° → 48° → 42° → … → 60° → 61° → 60° (25 versions)	32°	17% → 9% → 16% → … → 37% → 33% → 53% (32 versions)	234 pts
GEM (Canadian model)	71° → 80° → 72° → … → 75° → 76° → 77° (19 versions)	44°	54° → 63° → 59° → … → 60° → 61° → 58° (24 versions)	46°	10% → 20% → 14% → … → 33% → 38% → 33% (14 versions)	96 pts
ICON (German model)	62° → 74° → 73° → … → 80° → 79° → 80° (18 versions)	32°	40° → 53° → 55° → … → 58° → 59° → 60° (22 versions)	26°	20% → 27% → 25% → … → 25% → 18% → 20% (16 versions)	124 pts
HRRR	78° → 79° → 78° → 79° → 80° → 79°	4°	59° → 60° → 58° → 60° → 59° → 60° → 59° → 60°	8°	–	–

What they said

Each forecaster's 9 a.m. forecast for this day, made 1 to 7 days before. The small numbers are the miss in degrees.

Days before	Forecaster	High	Low	Rain chance
1	Consensus forecast	78° -1	59° +2	30%✓
1	FOX4 weather team	78° -1	58° +1	30%✓
1	FOX4 website	80° +1	61° +4	24%✓
1	KCTV5 First Warn team	77° -2	57° 0	30%✓
1	KCTV5 website	77° -2	57° 0	30%✓
1	KMBC 9 First Alert team	77° -2	59° +2	–
1	KMBC 9 website	79° 0	60° +3	24%✓
1	KSHB 41 weather team	76° -3	58° +1	20%✓
1	KSHB 41 website	79° 0	60° +3	18%✓
1	ECMWF (European model)	78° -1	63° +6	24%✓
1	GEM (Canadian model)	77° -2	63° +6	33%✓
1	GFS (American model)	79° 0	60° +3	37%✓
1	HRRR	78° -1	58° +1	rain✗
1	ICON (German model)	79° 0	59° +2	35%✓
1	National Blend of Models	78° -1	60° +3	7%✓
1	National Weather Service	79° 0	58° +1	46%✓
2	Consensus forecast	77° -2	59° +2	20%✓
2	FOX4 weather team	78° -1	57° 0	20%✓
2	FOX4 website	79° 0	60° +3	15%✓
2	KCTV5 First Warn team	76° -3	57° 0	20%✓
2	KCTV5 website	76° -3	57° 0	20%✓
2	KMBC 9 First Alert team	77° -2	59° +2	–
2	KMBC 9 website	78° -1	58° +1	15%✓
2	KSHB 41 weather team	76° -3	58° +1	no rain✓
2	KSHB 41 website	78° -1	59° +2	15%✓
2	ECMWF (European model)	75° -4	60° +3	8%✓
2	GEM (Canadian model)	76° -3	60° +3	48%✓
2	GFS (American model)	76° -3	56° -1	37%✓
2	ICON (German model)	78° -1	60° +3	30%✓
2	National Blend of Models	76° -3	60° +3	20%✓
2	National Weather Service	77° -2	58° +1	41%✓
3	Consensus forecast	77° -2	59° +2	17%✓
3	FOX4 weather team	79° 0	57° 0	no rain✓
3	FOX4 website	78° -1	60° +3	15%✓
3	KCTV5 First Warn team	76° -3	58° +1	20%✓
3	KCTV5 website	76° -3	58° +1	20%✓
3	KMBC 9 First Alert team	75° -4	58° +1	–
3	KMBC 9 website	77° -2	58° +1	17%✓
3	KSHB 41 weather team	76° -3	59° +2	no rain✓
3	KSHB 41 website	78° -1	59° +2	15%✓
3	ECMWF (European model)	74° -5	59° +2	16%✓
3	GEM (Canadian model)	75° -4	60° +3	50%✗
3	GFS (American model)	77° -2	58° +1	26%✓
3	ICON (German model)	77° -2	58° +1	13%✓
3	National Blend of Models	78° -1	60° +3	12%✓
3	National Weather Service	78° -1	59° +2	23%✓
4	Consensus forecast	76° -3	59° +2	20%✓
4	FOX4 weather team	72° -7	52° -5	no rain✓
4	FOX4 website	79° 0	61° +4	15%✓
4	KCTV5 First Warn team	73° -6	54° -3	20%✓
4	KCTV5 website	73° -6	54° -3	20%✓
4	KMBC 9 First Alert team	74° -5	56° -1	–
4	KMBC 9 website	76° -3	59° +2	15%✓
4	KSHB 41 weather team	74° -5	56° -1	no rain✓
4	KSHB 41 website	76° -3	60° +3	15%✓
4	ECMWF (European model)	75° -4	59° +2	24%✓
4	GEM (Canadian model)	76° -3	64° +7	24%✓
4	GFS (American model)	77° -2	61° +4	13%✓
4	ICON (German model)	79° 0	58° +1	29%✓
4	National Blend of Models	74° -5	59° +2	16%✓
4	National Weather Service	76° -3	56° -1	23%✓
5	Consensus forecast	74° -5	56° -1	21%✓
5	FOX4 weather team	70° -9	52° -5	20%✓
5	FOX4 website	77° -2	59° +2	16%✓
5	KCTV5 First Warn team	70° -9	53° -4	30%✓
5	KCTV5 website	70° -9	53° -4	30%✓
5	KMBC 9 First Alert team	71° -8	55° -2	–
5	KMBC 9 website	75° -4	58° +1	17%✓
5	KSHB 41 weather team	71° -8	52° -5	no rain✓
5	KSHB 41 website	76° -3	58° +1	15%✓
5	ECMWF (European model)	75° -4	59° +2	32%✓
5	GEM (Canadian model)	74° -5	62° +5	20%✓
5	GFS (American model)	74° -5	50° -7	14%✓
5	ICON (German model)	73° -6	56° -1	25%✓
5	National Blend of Models	74° -5	56° -1	22%✓
5	National Weather Service	74° -5	54° -3	32%✓
6	Consensus forecast	67° -12	50° -7	18%✓
6	FOX4 weather team	67° -12	46° -11	no rain✓
6	FOX4 website	74° -5	58° +1	15%✓
6	KCTV5 First Warn team	65° -14	49° -8	30%✓
6	KCTV5 website	65° -14	49° -8	30%✓
6	KMBC 9 First Alert team	67° -12	49° -8	–
6	KMBC 9 website	72° -7	56° -1	15%✓
6	KSHB 41 weather team	64° -15	48° -9	no rain✓
6	KSHB 41 website	74° -5	57° 0	15%✓
6	ECMWF (European model)	73° -6	56° -1	23%✓
6	GEM (Canadian model)	72° -7	61° +4	24%✓
6	GFS (American model)	68° -11	43° -14	21%✓
6	ICON (German model)	62° -17	53° -4	rain✗
6	National Blend of Models	66° -13	50° -7	9%✓
6	National Weather Service	67° -12	47° -10	13%✓
7	Consensus forecast	72° -7	51° -6	18%✓
7	KCTV5 website	72° -7	55° -2	20%✓
7	KMBC 9 First Alert team	65° -14	49° -8	–
7	KMBC 9 website	72° -7	51° -6	21%✓
7	KSHB 41 weather team	66° -13	48° -9	20%✓
7	KSHB 41 website	72° -7	53° -4	10%✓
7	ECMWF (European model)	77° -2	48° -9	9%✓
7	GEM (Canadian model)	80° +1	63° +6	20%✓
7	GFS (American model)	73° -6	54° -3	16%✓
7	National Blend of Models	65° -14	50° -7	13%✓
7	National Weather Service	– –	46° -11	–