Sunday, November 1, 2026

High64°

Low58° official minimum

Raintrace

Most accurate TV weather team for the day, by the Rankings' measure (the average miss of the high and low, 1 day out): KSHB 41 weather team, 3.00°.

The WeatherChecked badge

KSHB 41 weather team: number 1 Kansas City TV weather team for Sunday, November 1, 2026. The station is welcome to show this badge, linked to this page, which has the result and how it was decided.

Download: SVG · PNG, 800 px · PNG, 1600 px

Code for a web page

<a href="https://kcweathercheck.com/day/2026-11-01/"><img src="https://kcweathercheck.com/static/badges/weatherchecked-ranked-1-daily-800.png" width="300" style="height:auto" alt="WeatherChecked Ranked #1 - Daily: KSHB 41 weather team, Sunday, November 1, 2026, KC Weather Check"></a>

Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 30, 6:37 p.m. to Oct 31, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 30, 9:37 p.m. to Oct 31, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 31, 10:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 31, 11:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 1, 10:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 11:37 p.m.

How the forecasts changed

Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to the end of the day. A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind; the line marked Actual is what happened. The shaded part is the day itself.

KSHB 41 weather team
KMBC 9 First Alert team
KCTV5 First Warn team
FOX4 weather team

KSHB 41 website
KMBC 9 website
KCTV5 website
FOX4 website

National Weather Service
National Blend of Models
GFS (American model)
ECMWF (European model)
GEM (Canadian model)
ICON (German model)
HRRR

The high

The low

The chance of rain

KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.

Every change

Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)

Forecaster	The high, every change	Back-and-forth	The low, every change	Back-and-forth	Chance of rain, every change	Back-and-forth
KSHB 41 weather team	70° → 68° → 70° → 72° → 70° → 69° → 67° → 68°	10°	57° → 59° → 58° → 55° → 58° → 55° → 57°	14°	30% → 0% → 20% → 0%	40 pts
KMBC 9 First Alert team	69° → 70° → 72° → 70° → 69° → 68°	6°	57° → 59° → 57° → 55° → 57° → 56°	8°	–	–
KCTV5 First Warn team	68° → 67° → 69° → 70° → 68° → 70° → 68° → 67°	10°	57°	0°	30% → 20%	0 pts
FOX4 weather team	68° → 70° → 71° → … → 71° → 74° → 70° (11 versions)	14°	56° → 57° → 56° → … → 57° → 58° → 56° (11 versions)	14°	30% → 0% → 20% → 0% → 2%	44 pts
KSHB 41 website	71° → 70° → 72° → … → 68° → 67° → 66° (97 versions)	96°	61° → 62° → 61° → … → 58° → 59° → 58° (70 versions)	66°	24% → 23% → 22% → … → 53% → 24% → 15% (157 versions)	1052 pts
KMBC 9 website	69° → 70° → 69° → … → 72° → 71° → 72° (91 versions)	98°	60° → 62° → 61° → … → 58° → 57° → 58° (56 versions)	54°	50% → 24% → 23% → … → 80% → 62% → 24% (103 versions)	412 pts
KCTV5 website	70° → 68° → 67° → … → 65° → 66° → 65° (14 versions)	14°	59° → 57° → 58°	2°	59% → 30% → 20% → 30%	20 pts
FOX4 website	58° → 59° → 58° → … → 69° → 68° → 63° (26 versions)	42°	56° → 63° → 62° → … → 59° → 60° → 59° (15 versions)	18°	0% → 24% → 23% → … → 22% → 18% → 0% (41 versions)	162 pts
National Weather Service	72° → 74° → 72° → … → 71° → 68° → 66° (10 versions)	14°	58° → 56° → 57° → … → 59° → 56° → 55° (13 versions)	16°	7% → 20% → 34% → … → 15% → 14% → 17% (16 versions)	110 pts
National Blend of Models	71° → 72° → 71° → … → 69° → 68° → 69° (15 versions)	14°	60° → 59° → 58° → … → 58° → 57° → 56° (13 versions)	8°	40% → 45% → 37% → … → 9% → 10% → 7% (44 versions)	178 pts
GFS (American model)	70° → 69° → 66° → … → 65° → 67° → 66° (28 versions)	72°	58° → 53° → 52° → … → 56° → 58° → 57° (24 versions)	46°	52% → 56% → 58% → … → 14% → 19% → 23% (30 versions)	252 pts
ECMWF (European model)	75° → 70° → 69° → … → 70° → 69° → 68° (23 versions)	32°	62° → 55° → 59° → … → 58° → 56° → 57° (23 versions)	42°	28% → 55% → 28% → … → 60% → 59% → 75% (32 versions)	368 pts
GEM (Canadian model)	64° → 67° → 72° → … → 67° → 68° → 67° (21 versions)	40°	61° → 60° → 59° → … → 59° → 60° → 59° (20 versions)	46°	33% → 59% → 33% → … → 43% → 48% → 38% (17 versions)	234 pts
ICON (German model)	72° → 69° → 68° → … → 67° → 66° → 64° (17 versions)	30°	60° → 57° → 50° → … → 59° → 58° → 59° (20 versions)	48°	41% → 33% → 41% → … → 8% → 15% → 40% (19 versions)	178 pts
HRRR	66° → 65° → 66° → 65° → 64° → 63° → 64°	4°	59° → 57° → 60° → … → 57° → 56° → 58° (13 versions)	20°	–	–

What they said

Each forecaster's 9 a.m. forecast for this day, made 1 to 7 days before. The small numbers are the miss in degrees.

Days before	Forecaster	High	Low	Rain chance
1	Consensus forecast	69° +5	57° -1	19%✓
1	FOX4 weather team	70° +6	56° -2	2%✓
1	FOX4 website	72° +8	59° +1	11%✓
1	KCTV5 First Warn team	70° +6	57° -1	20%✓
1	KCTV5 website	70° +6	57° -1	20%✓
1	KMBC 9 First Alert team	70° +6	57° -1	–
1	KMBC 9 website	68° +4	57° -1	11%✓
1	KSHB 41 weather team	69° +5	57° -1	no rain✓
1	KSHB 41 website	68° +4	58° 0	18%✓
1	ECMWF (European model)	69° +5	58° 0	26%✓
1	GEM (Canadian model)	69° +5	57° -1	19%✓
1	GFS (American model)	69° +5	54° -4	19%✓
1	HRRR	66° +2	60° +2	rain✗
1	ICON (German model)	67° +3	59° +1	23%✓
1	National Blend of Models	69° +5	56° -2	19%✓
1	National Weather Service	70° +6	56° -2	32%✓
2	Consensus forecast	70° +6	58° 0	24%✓
2	FOX4 weather team	71° +7	57° -1	–
2	FOX4 website	71° +7	60° +2	22%✓
2	KCTV5 First Warn team	68° +4	57° -1	20%✓
2	KCTV5 website	68° +4	57° -1	20%✓
2	KMBC 9 First Alert team	72° +8	55° -3	–
2	KMBC 9 website	69° +5	58° 0	24%✓
2	KSHB 41 weather team	70° +6	55° -3	no rain✓
2	KSHB 41 website	70° +6	59° +1	20%✓
2	ECMWF (European model)	70° +6	60° +2	80%✗
2	GEM (Canadian model)	70° +6	58° 0	26%✓
2	GFS (American model)	68° +4	57° -1	32%✓
2	ICON (German model)	68° +4	58° 0	35%✓
2	National Blend of Models	69° +5	58° 0	9%✓
2	National Weather Service	72° +8	57° -1	49%✓
3	Consensus forecast	71° +7	56° -2	21%✓
3	FOX4 weather team	71° +7	55° -3	–
3	FOX4 website	72° +8	60° +2	19%✓
3	KCTV5 First Warn team	70° +6	57° -1	20%✓
3	KCTV5 website	70° +6	57° -1	20%✓
3	KMBC 9 First Alert team	70° +6	55° -3	–
3	KMBC 9 website	71° +7	58° 0	22%✓
3	KSHB 41 weather team	72° +8	55° -3	20%✓
3	KSHB 41 website	71° +7	59° +1	19%✓
3	ECMWF (European model)	70° +6	55° -3	36%✓
3	GEM (Canadian model)	72° +8	58° 0	33%✓
3	GFS (American model)	70° +6	55° -3	31%✓
3	ICON (German model)	68° +4	53° -5	10%✓
3	National Blend of Models	70° +6	57° -1	22%✓
3	National Weather Service	72° +8	54° -4	45%✓
4	Consensus forecast	71° +7	57° -1	29%✓
4	FOX4 weather team	69° +5	55° -3	–
4	FOX4 website	73° +9	60° +2	13%✓
4	KCTV5 First Warn team	70° +6	57° -1	30%✓
4	KCTV5 website	70° +6	57° -1	30%✓
4	KMBC 9 First Alert team	70° +6	55° -3	–
4	KMBC 9 website	70° +6	57° -1	13%✓
4	KSHB 41 weather team	72° +8	55° -3	no rain✓
4	KSHB 41 website	71° +7	58° 0	10%✓
4	ECMWF (European model)	72° +8	56° -2	29%✓
4	GEM (Canadian model)	73° +9	58° 0	29%✓
4	GFS (American model)	60° -4	55° -3	64%✗
4	ICON (German model)	70° +6	50° -8	38%✓
4	National Blend of Models	71° +7	57° -1	28%✓
4	National Weather Service	71° +7	55° -3	35%✓
5	Consensus forecast	70° +6	57° -1	30%✓
5	FOX4 weather team	71° +7	56° -2	20%✓
5	FOX4 website	71° +7	60° +2	20%✓
5	KCTV5 First Warn team	67° +3	57° -1	30%✓
5	KCTV5 website	67° +3	57° -1	30%✓
5	KMBC 9 First Alert team	70° +6	57° -1	–
5	KMBC 9 website	69° +5	58° 0	20%✓
5	KSHB 41 weather team	70° +6	55° -3	no rain✓
5	KSHB 41 website	70° +6	59° +1	19%✓
5	ECMWF (European model)	65° +1	59° +1	43%✓
5	GEM (Canadian model)	72° +8	59° +1	29%✓
5	GFS (American model)	60° -4	56° -2	33%✓
5	ICON (German model)	68° +4	57° -1	40%✓
5	National Blend of Models	70° +6	56° -2	24%✓
5	National Weather Service	72° +8	55° -3	54%✗
6	Consensus forecast	71° +7	58° 0	30%✓
6	FOX4 weather team	70° +6	56° -2	30%✓
6	FOX4 website	73° +9	61° +3	24%✓
6	KCTV5 First Warn team	68° +4	57° -1	30%✓
6	KCTV5 website	68° +4	57° -1	30%✓
6	KMBC 9 First Alert team	70° +6	59° +1	–
6	KMBC 9 website	72° +8	59° +1	21%✓
6	KSHB 41 weather team	68° +4	58° 0	30%✓
6	KSHB 41 website	73° +9	60° +2	24%✓
6	ECMWF (European model)	70° +6	57° -1	39%✓
6	GEM (Canadian model)	71° +7	59° +1	48%✓
6	GFS (American model)	67° +3	52° -6	32%✓
6	ICON (German model)	72° +8	57° -1	41%✓
6	National Blend of Models	71° +7	58° 0	22%✓
6	National Weather Service	72° +8	56° -2	34%✓
7	Consensus forecast	70° +6	59° +1	45%✓
7	FOX4 website	– –	64° +6	–
7	KCTV5 website	70° +6	59° +1	59%✗
7	KMBC 9 First Alert team	69° +5	57° -1	–
7	KMBC 9 website	69° +5	61° +3	24%✓
7	KSHB 41 weather team	70° +6	57° -1	30%✓
7	KSHB 41 website	71° +7	62° +4	24%✓
7	ECMWF (European model)	70° +6	55° -3	44%✓
7	GEM (Canadian model)	67° +3	61° +3	59%✗
7	GFS (American model)	69° +5	58° 0	58%✗
7	National Blend of Models	72° +8	60° +2	45%✓
7	National Weather Service	– –	58° 0	–