Friday, November 6, 2026
The day isn't over: it's scored once the National Weather Service's report for it is in, just after midnight. How the forecasts for it are doing so far: the scorecard's Today section.
Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 30, 6:37 p.m. to Oct 31, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 30, 9:37 p.m. to Oct 31, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 31, 10:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 31, 11:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 1, 10:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 11:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 4:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 7:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 8:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 9:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 1:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 3:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 4:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 6:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 8:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 1:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 3:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 4:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 7:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 12:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 1:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 6:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 9:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 11:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 9:37 p.m. to Nov 4, 12:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 4, 4:37 a.m. to Nov 4, 5:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 4, 7:37 a.m. to Nov 4, 9:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 2:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 3:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 4:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 5:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 8:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 11:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 3:37 p.m. to Nov 5, 4:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 5:37 p.m. to Nov 5, 8:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 1:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 7:37 a.m.
How the forecasts changed
Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to now (1:37 p.m.). A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind. The shaded part is the day itself.
- KSHB 41 weather team
- KMBC 9 First Alert team
- KCTV5 First Warn team
- FOX4 weather team
- KSHB 41 website
- KMBC 9 website
- KCTV5 website
- FOX4 website
- National Weather Service
- National Blend of Models
- GFS (American model)
- ECMWF (European model)
- GEM (Canadian model)
- ICON (German model)
- HRRR
The high
The low
The chance of rain
KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.
Every change
Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)
| Forecaster | The high, every change | Back-and-forth | The low, every change | Back-and-forth | Chance of rain, every change | Back-and-forth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSHB 41 weather team | 58° → 59° → 61° → … → 52° → 54° → 53° (10 versions) | 14° | 43° → 42° → 43° → 44° → 41° | 4° | 0% | 0 pts |
| KMBC 9 First Alert team | 60° → 63° → 61° → … → 54° → 52° → 49° (9 versions) | 6° | 43° → 45° → 42° | 4° | – | – |
| KCTV5 First Warn team | 60° → 61° → 60° → … → 52° → 50° → 48° (9 versions) | 6° | 42° → 43° → 42° → 41° → 40° | 2° | 0% → 20% → 0% | 40 pts |
| FOX4 weather team | 56° → 59° → 62° → … → 50° → 48° → 50° (11 versions) | 18° | 42° → 45° → 42° → … → 41° → 40° → 42° (9 versions) | 16° | 0% → 20% → 0% | 40 pts |
| KSHB 41 website | 58° → 57° → 59° → … → 50° → 51° → 50° (111 versions) | 120° | 44° → 43° → 44° → … → 44° → 45° → 44° (93 versions) | 100° | 24% → 23% → 24% → … → 15% → 3% → 2% (73 versions) | 174 pts |
| KMBC 9 website | 54° → 55° → 56° → … → 48° → 47° → 48° (101 versions) | 106° | 42° → 45° → 44° → … → 44° → 43° → 42° (65 versions) | 70° | 13% → 12% → 24% → … → 4% → 3% → 2% (71 versions) | 116 pts |
| KCTV5 website | 60° → 61° → 60° → … → 52° → 50° → 48° (9 versions) | 6° | 45° → 42° → 43° → 42° → 41° → 40° | 2° | 17% → 0% → 20% | 34 pts |
| FOX4 website | 62° → 57° → 55° → … → 51° → 50° → 49° (22 versions) | 14° | 61° → 47° → 46° → … → 45° → 44° → 45° (21 versions) | 24° | 7% → 6% → 7% → … → 15% → 4% → 2% (25 versions) | 88 pts |
| National Weather Service | 63° → 64° → 65° → … → 50° → 52° → 48° (14 versions) | 8° | 46° → 43° → 45° → … → 39° → 41° → 42° (15 versions) | 18° | 15% → 5% → 6% → … → 1% → 17% → 8% (17 versions) | 80 pts |
| National Blend of Models | 62° → 63° → 64° → … → 52° → 53° → 50° (20 versions) | 14° | 48° → 45° → 46° → … → 44° → 45° → 44° (17 versions) | 18° | 14% → 7% → 5% → … → 0% → 1% → 0% (23 versions) | 28 pts |
| GFS (American model) | 65° → 61° → 67° → … → 54° → 53° → 52° (22 versions) | 40° | 49° → 45° → 49° → … → 42° → 39° → 44° (24 versions) | 54° | 29% → 10% → 11% → … → 0% → 3% → 0% (17 versions) | 62 pts |
| ECMWF (European model) | 60° → 52° → 58° → … → 53° → 51° → 50° (18 versions) | 30° | 44° → 38° → 44° → … → 46° → 45° → 44° (27 versions) | 84° | 25% → 24% → 16% → … → 0% → 2% → 0% (18 versions) | 32 pts |
| GEM (Canadian model) | 44° → 55° → 59° → … → 48° → 47° → 48° (19 versions) | 44° | 42° → 50° → 34° → … → 42° → 41° → 42° (20 versions) | 74° | 20% → 14% → 11% → … → 0% → 5% → 0% (12 versions) | 30 pts |
| ICON (German model) | 48° → 53° → 55° → … → 50° → 51° → 49° (14 versions) | 26° | 37° → 42° → 48° → … → 43° → 40° → 39° (19 versions) | 36° | 11% → 15% → 3% → … → 0% → 3% → 0% (10 versions) | 32 pts |
| HRRR | 45° → 47° → 46° → … → 46° → 45° → 46° (9 versions) | 8° | 39° → 42° → 43° → … → 42° → 43° → 42° (9 versions) | 8° | – | – |