KC Weather Check

Day by day

Saturday, November 7, 2026

The forecasts for this day so far. It's scored once the day is over.

Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 30, 6:37 p.m. to Oct 31, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 30, 9:37 p.m. to Oct 31, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 31, 10:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Oct 31, 11:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 1, 10:37 p.m. to Nov 1, 11:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 4:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 7:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 8:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 9:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 1:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 3:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 4:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 6:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 8:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 1:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 3:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 4:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 7:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 12:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 1:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 6:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 9:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 11:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 9:37 p.m. to Nov 4, 12:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 4, 4:37 a.m. to Nov 4, 5:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 4, 7:37 a.m. to Nov 4, 9:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 2:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 3:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 4:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 5:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 8:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 11:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 3:37 p.m. to Nov 5, 4:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 5:37 p.m. to Nov 5, 8:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 1:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 7:37 a.m.

How the forecasts changed

Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to now (1:37 p.m.). A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind. The shaded part is the day itself.

The high

45°50°55°60°65°Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5Fri 6KSHB 41 websiteKMBC 9 websiteKCTV5 websiteFOX4 websiteNational Blend of ModelsGFS (American model)ECMWF (European model)GEM (Canadian model)National Weather ServiceICON (German model)HRRRKMBC 9 First Alert teamKSHB 41 weather teamKCTV5 First Warn teamFOX4 weather team

The low

25°30°35°40°45°50°55°Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5Fri 6KSHB 41 websiteKMBC 9 websiteKCTV5 websiteFOX4 websiteNational Blend of ModelsGFS (American model)ECMWF (European model)GEM (Canadian model)National Weather ServiceICON (German model)HRRRKMBC 9 First Alert teamKSHB 41 weather teamKCTV5 First Warn teamFOX4 weather team

The chance of rain

KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.

0%20%40%60%80%100%Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5Fri 6KSHB 41 websiteKMBC 9 websiteKCTV5 websiteFOX4 websiteNational Blend of ModelsGFS (American model)ECMWF (European model)GEM (Canadian model)National Weather ServiceICON (German model)KSHB 41 weather teamKCTV5 First Warn teamFOX4 weather team

Every change

Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)

ForecasterThe high, every changeBack-and-forthThe low, every changeBack-and-forth Chance of rain, every changeBack-and-forth
KSHB 41 weather team60° → 61° → 57° → 63° → 59° → 57° → 54° → 55°16°42° → 46° → 44° → 43° → 42° → 41° → 39° → 35°8° 0%0 pts
KMBC 9 First Alert team64° → 63° → 60° → 58° → 56°0°45° → 44° → 40° → 38° → 34° → 37°6° ––
KCTV5 First Warn team60° → 59° → 63° → 58° → 53° → 54° → 53° → 51°10°44° → 42° → 39° → 36°0° 0% → 30% → 0%60 pts
FOX4 weather team64° → 60° → 61° → 56° → 54°2°44° → 42° → 40° → … → 35° → 34° → 35° (13 versions)8° 0%0 pts
KSHB 41 website60° → 61° → 62° → … → 53° → 51° → 52° (82 versions)84°43° → 44° → 41° → … → 38° → 39° → 38° (90 versions)90° 24% → 20% → 21% → … → 7% → 8% → 7% (70 versions)230 pts
KMBC 9 website59° → 60° → 61° → … → 51° → 50° → 51° (63 versions)66°42° → 43° → 40° → … → 37° → 36° → 37° (85 versions)88° 15% → 16% → 17% → … → 9% → 8% → 7% (90 versions)308 pts
KCTV5 website60° → 59° → 63° → 58° → 53° → 54° → 53° → 51°10°44° → 42° → 39° → 36°0° 22% → 0% → 30% → 0%60 pts
FOX4 website60° → 56° → 59° → … → 52° → 53° → 52° (23 versions)22°45° → 44° → 40° → … → 38° → 39° → 38° (18 versions)14° 23% → 22% → 18% → … → 7% → 8% → 7% (16 versions)40 pts
National Weather Service65° → 66° → 63° → 59° → 60° → 59° → 55° → 56°6°44° → 45° → 42° → … → 42° → 34° → 36° (13 versions)28° 8% → 3% → 15% → 19% → 11% → 7% → 0%32 pts
National Blend of Models64° → 65° → 63° → … → 55° → 58° → 54° (16 versions)16°46° → 45° → 46° → … → 35° → 36° → 35° (23 versions)14° 10% → 8% → 14% → … → 4% → 3% → 0% (14 versions)24 pts
GFS (American model)67° → 58° → 61° → … → 57° → 56° → 55° (22 versions)52°54° → 48° → 46° → … → 39° → 40° → 38° (21 versions)24° 23% → 26% → 23% → … → 0% → 2% → 0% (17 versions)46 pts
ECMWF (European model)56° → 52° → 60° → … → 55° → 56° → 55° (18 versions)46°41° → 46° → 42° → … → 36° → 37° → 36° (21 versions)46° 10% → 15% → 20% → … → 9% → 2% → 0% (10 versions)50 pts
GEM (Canadian model)53° → 57° → 59° → … → 50° → 51° → 52° (11 versions)26°35° → 34° → 31° → … → 26° → 28° → 29° (16 versions)30° 14% → 18% → 8% → 19% → 5% → 10% → 0%40 pts
ICON (German model)51° → 60° → 56° → … → 55° → 54° → 53° (17 versions)42°36° → 48° → 50° → … → 37° → 35° → 33° (17 versions)56° 13% → 14% → 15% → … → 0% → 3% → 0% (10 versions)24 pts
HRRR44°0°36° → 37° → 39°0° ––