Monday, November 9, 2026
The forecasts for this day so far. It's scored once the day is over.
Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 4:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 7:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 8:37 a.m. to Nov 2, 9:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 1:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 3:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 4:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 6:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 2, 8:37 p.m. to Nov 2, 9:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 1:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 3:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 4:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 3, 7:37 a.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 12:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 1:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 6:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 7:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 9:37 p.m. to Nov 3, 11:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 3, 9:37 p.m. to Nov 4, 12:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 4, 4:37 a.m. to Nov 4, 5:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 4, 7:37 a.m. to Nov 4, 9:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 2:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 3:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 4:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 5:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 8:37 a.m. to Nov 5, 11:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 3:37 p.m. to Nov 5, 4:37 p.m.; FOX4 weather team and FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 5, 5:37 p.m. to Nov 5, 8:37 p.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 1:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 7:37 a.m.
How the forecasts changed
Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to now (2:07 p.m.). A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind. The shaded part is the day itself.
- KSHB 41 weather team
- KMBC 9 First Alert team
- KCTV5 First Warn team
- FOX4 weather team
- KSHB 41 website
- KMBC 9 website
- KCTV5 website
- FOX4 website
- National Weather Service
- National Blend of Models
- GFS (American model)
- ECMWF (European model)
- GEM (Canadian model)
- ICON (German model)
The high
The low
The chance of rain
KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.
Every change
Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)
| Forecaster | The high, every change | Back-and-forth | The low, every change | Back-and-forth | Chance of rain, every change | Back-and-forth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSHB 41 weather team | 56° → 62° → 67° | 0° | 42° → 45° → 42° → 40° → 38° | 6° | 0% | 0 pts |
| KMBC 9 First Alert team | 63° → 66° → 68° | 0° | 40° → 42° | 0° | – | – |
| KCTV5 First Warn team | 64° → 66° → 68° → 66° → 68° | 4° | 41° → 40° → 41° → 43° | 2° | 20% → 0% | 0 pts |
| FOX4 weather team | 62° → 63° → 67° → 65° → 67° → 68° | 4° | 42° → 40° | 0° | 0% | 0 pts |
| KSHB 41 website | 65° → 66° → 64° → … → 70° → 71° → 70° (56 versions) | 58° | 42° → 43° → 42° → … → 42° → 43° → 42° (49 versions) | 50° | 5% → 9% → 8% → … → 7% → 8% → 7% (26 versions) | 28 pts |
| KMBC 9 website | 63° → 64° → 63° → … → 69° → 70° → 69° (50 versions) | 54° | 40° → 41° → 40° → … → 41° → 40° → 41° (53 versions) | 56° | 23% → 22% → 23% → … → 8% → 7% → 8% (47 versions) | 54 pts |
| KCTV5 website | 64° → 66° → 68° → 66° → 68° | 4° | 41° → 40° → 41° → 43° | 2° | 22% → 0% | 0 pts |
| FOX4 website | 62° → 61° → 68° → … → 71° → 72° → 71° (19 versions) | 20° | 43° → 42° → 43° → … → 43° → 42° → 43° (24 versions) | 26° | 0% → 5% → 6% → … → 6% → 7% → 8% (9 versions) | 4 pts |
| National Weather Service | 63° → 67° → 66° → 68° → 67° → 68° → 69° → 70° | 4° | 42° → 40° → 41° → 40° → 39° → 40° → 42° → 43° | 8° | 1% → 3% → 0% → 1% → 0% → 1% → 0% | 8 pts |
| National Blend of Models | 63° → 62° → 63° → … → 68° → 70° → 68° (13 versions) | 10° | 43° → 41° → 42° → … → 44° → 45° → 44° (13 versions) | 14° | 9% → 1% → 5% → … → 0% → 1% → 0% (9 versions) | 12 pts |
| GFS (American model) | 55° → 61° → 57° → … → 68° → 69° → 68° (15 versions) | 42° | 37° → 40° → 38° → … → 48° → 47° → 48° (16 versions) | 34° | 3% → 0% → 3% → 0% | 6 pts |
| ECMWF (European model) | 50° → 54° → 65° → … → 65° → 66° → 68° (12 versions) | 12° | 40° → 37° → 40° → … → 45° → 44° → 43° (13 versions) | 26° | 25% → 6% → 2% → 0% → 2% → 0% → 2% → 0% | 8 pts |
| GEM (Canadian model) | 63° → 66° → 63° → … → 63° → 66° → 67° (10 versions) | 14° | 45° → 44° → 40° → … → 34° → 35° → 32° (11 versions) | 16° | 5% → 14% → 5% → 0% | 18 pts |
| ICON (German model) | 59° → 58° → 56° → … → 66° → 67° → 66° (9 versions) | 12° | 45° → 41° → 37° → … → 40° → 42° → 43° (10 versions) | 28° | 3% → 0% | 0 pts |