Friday, November 13, 2026
The forecasts for this day so far. It's scored once the day is over.
Gaps in the forecasts for this day because a station's site refused the reader. FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 12:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 1:37 a.m.; FOX4 website: fox4kc.com refused the reader from Nov 6, 6:37 a.m. to Nov 6, 7:37 a.m.
How the forecasts changed
Each forecaster's high, low and chance of rain for this day every time they changed, from a week before to now (1:37 p.m.). A flat stretch is a forecast holding; a zig-zag is a forecaster changing its mind. The shaded part is the day itself.
- KMBC 9 First Alert team
- KSHB 41 website
- KMBC 9 website
- KCTV5 website
- FOX4 website
- National Weather Service
- National Blend of Models
- GFS (American model)
- ECMWF (European model)
- GEM (Canadian model)
- ICON (German model)
The high
The low
The chance of rain
KMBC 9's on-air graphic gives no chance of rain (nor did the KMBC 9 and KSHB 41 articles read until October 15). The KSHB 41, KCTV5 and FOX4 graphics show one only when there is one, so a day without one there is drawn at 0%.
Every change
Back-and-forth: how far the forecast moved one way and then back, in degrees: all its moves minus the overall change, so a forecast that heads one way (60°, 63°, 65°) scores 0 and one that changes its mind (68°, 72°, 68°) scores 8. For the chance of rain it's in percentage points (30%, 60%, 30% scores 60). (The scorecard counts the high's changes until 9 a.m. on the day and the low's until midnight before it.)
| Forecaster | The high, every change | Back-and-forth | The low, every change | Back-and-forth | Chance of rain, every change | Back-and-forth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMBC 9 First Alert team | – | 0° | 44° | 0° | – | – |
| KSHB 41 website | 56° → 55° → 56° → 57° → 58° → 57° → 58° → 52° | 8° | 40° → 41° → 36° → 35° → 36° → 37° → 38° → 37° | 8° | 5% → 4% → 5% → 4% → 5% → 4% | 4 pts |
| KMBC 9 website | 62° → 60° → 62° → … → 56° → 57° → 52° (10 versions) | 12° | 39° → 36° → 35° → … → 37° → 38° → 37° (9 versions) | 8° | 6% → 5% | 0 pts |
| KCTV5 website | 69° | 0° | 52° | 0° | 17% | 0 pts |
| FOX4 website | – | 0° | 44° → 36° → 38° → 39° → 38° | 6° | – | – |
| National Weather Service | – | 0° | 44° → 41° | 0° | – | – |
| National Blend of Models | 64° → 65° → 60° | 2° | 45° → 44° → 40° | 0° | 2% → 1% → 2% | 2 pts |
| GFS (American model) | 48° → 51° → 43° | 6° | 31° → 33° → 35° | 0° | 2% → 3% | 0 pts |
| ECMWF (European model) | 58° → 48° | 0° | 40° → 34° | 0° | 4% → 0% | 0 pts |
| GEM (Canadian model) | 53° → 43° | 0° | 35° → 30° | 0° | 0% | 0 pts |
| ICON (German model) | – | 0° | 35° | 0° | – | – |